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Journal of Tropical Pediatrics Advance Access originally published online on February 29, 2008
Journal of Tropical Pediatrics 2008 54(4):265-268; doi:10.1093/tropej/fmn011
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© The Author [2008]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Brief Reports

Declining Trends of Infant, Child and Under-five Mortality in Nepal

Shyam Thapa

Saving Newborn Lives Program, Save the Children/US, Washington DC 20036, USA

Correspondence: E-mail <SThapa{at}savechildren.org>.


   Abstract

Demographic and Health Surveys conducted quinquennially in 1996, 2001 and 2006 show that infant, child and under-five mortality in Nepal have declined steadily at least over the past 25 years. Estimates based on exponential-decline regression curves fitted to the 15-year data immediately preceding each survey, aggregated by 5-year period, show the infant, child and under-five mortality rates for the period 1986–1990 to be 106, 58 and 158 per 1000 live births and 52, 17 and 67 per 1000 live births for 2001–2005, respectively. The projected rates, assuming that the policy and program efforts are sustained, for the period 2011–2015 are 32, 7 and 38 per 1000 live births. Nepal is most likely to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) target of a two-thirds reduction in child mortality by 2015, the end of the MDG countdown.

Key Words: Infant • child • under-five mortality • Nepal


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